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Baseline vs. reporting
Baseline model fit on 7 months
before Aug 2023; savings measured over the
7 reporting months after it.
Temp: 100.0% derived · Modeled climate normal (seasonal + latitude). Production upgrade: NOAA GHCN-Daily nearest-station. Degree days base 65°F (EIA/NOAA).
This is synthetic demo data with no efficiency intervention, so
avoided energy should read near 0% — that's the method working
correctly. On real post-retrofit data, this is where a program's verified savings appear.
Avoided energy
-14.8%
-11107 kWh / meter
Adjusted baseline (CBL)
75274
kWh / meter expected
Reporting actual
86381
kWh / meter metered
Baseline fit (R²)
0.952
degree-day model
Reporting period: actual vs. adjusted baseline
kWh / meter · monthBars are metered use; the line is the weather-adjusted baseline (CBL). The gap between them, summed over the reporting period, is the avoided energy.
The baseline model
E = 11152 + -4.6126·HDD + 11.1203·CDD
- Heating slope: -4.6126 / HDD
- Cooling slope: 11.1203 / CDD
- Avoided: -11107 kWh/meter (-14.8%)
Method: IPMVP Option C (EVO 10000-1:2016);
weather-adjusted baseline per ASHRAE Guideline 14; base-65°F degree days (US EIA / NOAA).