Electric — Small City

Rivertown Electric (synthetic)

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Aggregation Weather normalization M&V savings Benchmarking (EUI) Load & demand Seasonal & outdoor use Distribution & inequality Energy burden Map & clustering Class × time Differential privacy Data quality

Disclosure control Suppression k = 15 1 customer ≤ 15% complementary on Methods & formulas

Baseline vs. reporting Baseline model fit on 6 months before Jul 2023; savings measured over the 6 reporting months after it.

This is synthetic demo data with no efficiency intervention, so avoided energy should read near 0% — that's the method working correctly. On real post-retrofit data, this is where a program's verified savings appear.

Avoided energy

-7.0%

-5487 kWh / meter

Adjusted baseline (CBL)

78008

kWh / meter expected

Reporting actual

83495

kWh / meter metered

Baseline fit (R²)

0.981

degree-day model

Reporting period: actual vs. adjusted baseline

kWh / meter · month

Bars are metered use; the line is the weather-adjusted baseline (CBL). The gap between them, summed over the reporting period, is the avoided energy.

The baseline model

E = 12857 + -8.5632·HDD + 3.941·CDD

Heating slope: -8.5632 / HDD
Cooling slope: 3.941 / CDD
Avoided: -5487 kWh/meter (-7.0%)

Method: IPMVP Option C (EVO 10000-1:2016); weather-adjusted baseline per ASHRAE Guideline 14; base-65°F degree days (US EIA / NOAA).