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Electric — Metro

Capital Metro Power (synthetic)
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UnitTrack · Disclosure-controlled report

Electric — Metro

Capital Metro Power (synthetic)
Generated 2026-07-28 21:49 · Grouped by census tract · k = 15
Residual re-identification risk
worst case 6% · Low · smallest published group 17
8/77
Census tract groups published
of meter reads in published output
69
groups withheld by disclosure control
15/15 rule
≥15 contributors; no single customer over 15%
Contents
  1. Disclosure control & data provenance
  2. Consumption profile
  3. Geography & spatial clustering
  4. Weather & seasonality
  5. Demand & load
  6. Benchmarking (EUI)
  7. Energy burden & equity
  8. Measurement & verification (M&V)
  9. Differential privacy (alternative release)
  10. Appendix — policy & citations

Disclosure control & data provenance

Grouping the dataset into 77 census tract groups, 8 were safe to publish and 69 were withheld under the rules below. The exact share published and the grand total are withheld here so the small suppressed group can't be recovered by subtraction; the published output carries a worst-case re-identification risk of 6% (Low).

Data quality & reliability
18000
Loaded reads
0 rejected & quarantined
14.2%
Estimated reads
utility estimate flag
2.1%
Negative usage
rollovers / net metering
2882
High outliers
Tukey 1.5·IQR (1977)

Anomalies are flagged, not dropped; rows failing validation are quarantined as rejected. 1404 reads (7.8%) lack coordinates and are excluded from spatial views.

Methods & authorities
  • Minimum-count (k-anonymity) — 34 groups withheld (triggered by your minimum group size k = 15).
    Sweeney, k-anonymity (2002); ESSnet/Eurostat SDC Handbook (Hundepool et al.) — minimum-frequency / threshold rule · Meets/exceeds: CA CPUC D.14-05-016 ("15/15"); IL 220 ILCS 33
  • (n,k)-dominance — 35 groups withheld (triggered by your top-1 dominance limit p = 15%).
    ESSnet/Eurostat SDC Handbook §4.2 (Hundepool et al.) — sensitive cells in magnitude tables
  • PII handling — identifiers are excluded from the analytic path; only disclosure-controlled aggregates are reported.
    NIST SP 800-122; NISTIR 8053
Published results
Census tract Total consumption (kWh) Contributors Status
(no location) * Withheld
Tract 23.23 * Withheld
Tract 10 * Withheld
Tract 9.02 * Withheld
Tract 23.27 * Withheld
Tract 13.11 * Withheld
Tract 23.04 * Withheld
Tract 14.02 * Withheld
Tract 8.04 * Withheld
Tract 23.15 * Withheld
Tract 21.11 * Withheld
Tract 14.03 * Withheld
Tract 23.26 * Withheld
Tract 23.07 * Withheld
Tract 11.03 * Withheld
Tract 12 * Withheld
Tract 9.01 * Withheld
Tract 23.13 * Withheld
Tract 11.01 * Withheld
Tract 13.12 * Withheld
Tract 23.14 1,819,186 39 Published
Tract 6.08 * Withheld
Tract 24.47 * Withheld
Tract 8.03 * Withheld
Tract 14.01 * Withheld
Tract 11.02 * Withheld
Tract 4.02 * Withheld
Tract 24.48 1,174,063 57 Published
Tract 8.02 * Withheld
Tract 23.16 * Withheld
Tract 7 * Withheld
Tract 6.01 * Withheld
Tract 4.01 * Withheld
Tract 23.25 * Withheld
Tract 23.21 * Withheld
Tract 24.11 * Withheld
Tract 24.03 * Withheld
Tract 23.22 * Withheld
Tract 19.11 * Withheld
Tract 8.01 * Withheld
Tract 20.03 * Withheld
Tract 13.10 * Withheld
Tract 23.10 588,959 24 Published
Tract 23.20 572,902 20 Published
Tract 21.09 * Withheld
Tract 16.03 555,827 24 Published
Tract 13.07 * Withheld
Tract 23.24 * Withheld
Tract 16.02 * Withheld
Tract 13.09 * Withheld
Tract 16.05 476,641 26 Published
Tract 13.04 406,464 26 Published
Tract 13.08 * Withheld
(outside area) * Withheld
Tract 21.07 307,432 17 Published
Tract 21.10 * Withheld
Tract 20.06 * Withheld
Tract 2.04 * Withheld
Tract 3.09 * Withheld
Tract 3.02 * Withheld
Tract 3.07 * Withheld
Tract 20.07 * Withheld
Tract 19.10 * Withheld
Tract 9800 * Withheld
Tract 5 * Withheld
Tract 24.13 * Withheld
Tract 24.43 * Withheld
Tract 24.44 * Withheld
Tract 6.06 * Withheld
Tract 3.08 * Withheld
Tract 19.23 * Withheld
Tract 6.05 * Withheld
Tract 16.04 * Withheld
Tract 20.02 * Withheld
Tract 6.07 * Withheld
Tract 21.08 * Withheld
Tract 19.19 * Withheld
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Consumption profile

Total consumption by census tract — published groups (kWh)
Consumption distribution & inequality
0.893
Gini coefficient
Gini 1912; Lorenz 1905
11.934
Coefficient of variation
std ÷ mean
25036
Median use / account (kWh/yr)
across 1500 accounts
231
High outliers
Tukey 1.5·IQR
Lorenz curve — cumulative use vs. cumulative accounts
Percentiles (kWh/yr)
10th11561
25th16021
Median25036
75th47346
90th164567
Customer class × month
Total consumption — class (rows) × month (columns); blanks were suppressed (kWh)
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Geography & spatial clustering

Random
Spatial pattern
not significant
-0.197
Moran's I
expected -0.143
-0.13
z-score
over 8 areas
0.8949
p-value
two-tailed
Total consumption by area (kWh) — uncolored areas are suppressed

No significant spatial pattern — values look randomly placed.

No statistically significant local hot or cold spots.

Global Moran's I, rook contiguity; normality-assumption inference. Moran (1950); Cliff & Ord (1973). Basemap © OpenStreetMap/Carto.
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Weather & seasonality

6.9%
Weather-sensitive (cooling-driven)
ASHRAE G14; PRISM
0.0% / 100.0%
Heating / cooling split
of weather-driven use
Weather-normalized annual
restated at normal year
0.646
Model fit (R²)
degree-day regression

E = 19979 + -9.1359·HDD + 6.3478·CDD  ·  base 65°F · 10 months

Seasonal use — 28.2% above winter baseline, peak Sep
Average monthly consumption vs. winter baseline (kWh)
Winter-baseline (minimum-month) method. Standard seasonal decomposition.
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Demand & load

0.271
Median load factor
across 1500 buildings
32632
Coincident peak (kW)
hour 15:00
0.221
Coincidence factor
NREL UMP Ch.10
4.53
Diversity factor
1 ÷ coincidence
Peak demand by hour of day (summed customer peaks; tallest = system coincident peak)
Load factor by class
ClassBuildingsp25Medianp75
RESIDENTIAL 1202 0.1980.2610.299
COMMERCIAL 250 0.3240.3880.438
INDUSTRIAL 48 0.4480.5110.554
Load factor: utility load research; NREL UMP. Coincidence/diversity: NREL UMP Ch.10; BPA M&V. Small classes withheld (k-anonymity).
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Benchmarking — Energy Use Intensity

39.9
Median EUI (kBtu/ft²/yr)
EPA ENERGY STAR; DOE/EIA CBECS
1500
Buildings benchmarked
floor area & ≥ 2 months
1 kWh = 3.412 kBtu; 1 therm = 100 kBtu (EIA)
reference constants v2024.1
EUI distribution across buildings (published classes)
By customer class (site EUI, kBtu/ft²/yr)
ClassBldgsp25Medianp75vs nat'l
RESIDENTIAL 1202 24.940.165.7 134%
COMMERCIAL 250 17.738.279.7 55%
INDUSTRIAL 48 15.933.2101.7
Within-dataset EUI percentiles vs. class peers. “vs nat'l” is coarse all-fuel context (CBECS 2018 / RECS 2020), not the ENERGY STAR 1–100 score. Small classes withheld.
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Energy burden & equity

Burden = annual energy cost ÷ tract median household income at $0.16/kWh. Bands: ≤6% affordable · 6–10% moderate · >10% high (ACEEE).

5.36%
Median tract burden
across 42 tracts
5
High-burden tracts
> 10% of income
27.5%
Households high-burden
315 of 1147
35
Tracts suppressed
below min-count
Energy burden by census tract (% of income)
Energy burden = annual energy cost ÷ median household income; ≤6% / 6–10% / >10% cut points (6% affordability from the Home Energy Affordability Gap [Fisher, Sheehan & Colton]; used by DOE/NREL LEAD & ACEEE — convention, not statute). Income: ACS 5-year B19013. Rate: EIA average retail price. Tract-level per DOE/NREL LEAD; metered-commodity burden is a lower bound on total home-energy burden.
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Measurement & verification (IPMVP Option C)

Baseline model fit on 5 months before Jul 2023; savings measured over the following 5 reporting months. Synthetic demo with no intervention — avoided energy near 0% is the method working correctly.

-6.7%
Avoided energy
-6785 kWh/meter
101846
Adjusted baseline (CBL)
kWh/meter expected
108631
Reporting actual
kWh/meter metered
0.847
Baseline fit (R²)
degree-day model
Reporting period: metered actual vs. adjusted baseline (kWh/meter)
IPMVP Option C (EVO 10000-1:2016); ASHRAE Guideline 14; base-65°F degree days (US EIA / NOAA).
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Differential privacy — an alternative release

An alternative to suppression: instead of hiding small groups, calibrated Laplace noise is added to each count (ε = 1.0, scale b = 1.0) so no individual's presence can be inferred while totals stay useful. Mean absolute error ±1.0 across 30 groups.

True vs. differentially private counts by geography
Laplace mechanism, ε-differential privacy. Dwork, McSherry, Nissim & Smith (2006); Dwork & Roth (2014); US Census Bureau 2020 DAS.
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Appendix — policy & citations

Disclosure-control settings
Governing standard15/15 rule
Minimum group size (k)15
Dominance (top-n ≤ p)1 ≤ 0.15
Min accounts for models15
GroupingCensus tract
Standards & sources cited
  • k-anonymity — Sweeney (2002); ESSnet/Eurostat SDC Handbook
  • (n,k)-dominance — ESSnet SDC Handbook §4.2; CPUC 15/15
  • Inequality — Gini (1912); Lorenz (1905)
  • Spatial — Moran (1950); Cliff & Ord (1973)
  • Weather / M&V — ASHRAE Guideline 14; IPMVP Option C; PRISM
  • Benchmarking — EPA ENERGY STAR; DOE/EIA CBECS/RECS
  • Load — NREL UMP; BPA M&V Peak Demand
  • Burden — ACEEE; US Census ACS
  • Differential privacy — Dwork et al. (2006); US Census 2020 DAS
  • PII — NIST SP 800-122; NISTIR 8053; NIST SP 800-188
  • Methods & Formulas — every rule & analysis with its formula-as-implemented and primary citation

Synthetic sample data — for demonstration, not distribution. Generated by UnitTrack, a Polish Clover Solutions product · 2026-07-28 21:49.