Gas — Rural Co-op

Prairie Gas Co-op (synthetic)

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Aggregation Weather normalization M&V savings Benchmarking (EUI) Load & demand Seasonal & outdoor use Distribution & inequality Energy burden Map & clustering Class × time Differential privacy Data quality

Disclosure control Suppression k = 15 1 customer ≤ 15% complementary on Methods & formulas

Baseline vs. reporting Baseline model fit on 5 months before Jul 2023; savings measured over the 6 reporting months after it.

This is synthetic demo data with no efficiency intervention, so avoided energy should read near 0% — that's the method working correctly. On real post-retrofit data, this is where a program's verified savings appear.

Avoided energy

13.2%

1377 therms / meter

Adjusted baseline (CBL)

10399

therms / meter expected

Reporting actual

9022

therms / meter metered

Baseline fit (R²)

0.613

degree-day model

Reporting period: actual vs. adjusted baseline

therms / meter · month

Bars are metered use; the line is the weather-adjusted baseline (CBL). The gap between them, summed over the reporting period, is the avoided energy.

The baseline model

E = 3250 + 0.9114·HDD + -4.754·CDD

Heating slope: 0.9114 / HDD
Cooling slope: -4.754 / CDD
Avoided: 1377 therms/meter (13.2%)

Method: IPMVP Option C (EVO 10000-1:2016); weather-adjusted baseline per ASHRAE Guideline 14; base-65°F degree days (US EIA / NOAA).